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Global Security Concerns : Anticipating the Twenty-First Century

By Karl P. Magyar


Description
The analysts were charged with the task of anticipating which specific contentious issues likely will propel large, organized political units to choose violent means of acquiring their sociopolitical objectives rather than attaining them peacefully. The units on which we focus have been traditionally identified as states, but we recognize that a host of new sub- and suprastate actors also will play major roles in such wars; hence, we also will allude to them.

Table of Contents
DISCLAIMER...............................................ii PREFACE....................................................vi HISTORY, CULTURE, AND CHANGE: FOUNDATIONS OF CONFLICTS AND WARS......1 RELIGION-A BANNER FOR TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY CONFLICT............................19 NATIONAL FRAGMENTATION, ETHNICITY, AND THE NEW WORLD ORDER............................32 POPULATION PRESSURES, MIGRATION, AND REFUGEES...................................46 TRANSNATIONAL CRIME ITS EFFECT AND IMPLICATIONS FOR INTERNATIONAL STABILITY..............................................58 HUMAN RIGHTS AND HUMANITARIAN CONCERNS............................................70 ANTICIPATING THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY ECONOMIC SOURCES OF CONFLICTS..........82 THE THIRD WORLD’S NONVIABLE STATES A MAJOR SOURCE OF CONFLICT IN THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY...........................96 Table 2..................................................101 WHEN THE WATER RUNS OUT......................................................111 TRANSNATIONAL AIR, WATER, AND LAND DEGRADATION PROBLEMS.............................................124 NUCLEAR CONFLICT AND NONPROLIFERATION ISSUES IN THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY..............................................134 THE OTHER WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION CHEMICAL AND BIOLOGICAL....................145 CONVENTIONAL ARMAMENTS MAPPING WARFARE IN THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY................................................161 REGIONAL IMPACTS OF CIVIL WARS..........176 THREATS FROM THIRD WORLD REGIONAL HEGEMONS..................................186 INTERNATIONAL TERRORISM IN THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY.................198 THE TRANSMILLENNIAL WORLD FROM AN AMERICAN PERSPECTIVE...............210

 

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